Betting Against the Public (Fading the Public)
"Betting Against the Public" is one of the most popular and simplest methods used by SportsInsights.com members. The logic is simple: always bet against the public. Which ever team the public is loading up on, simply bet the other team. There is a reason why sportsbooks are in business. We gone to extraordinary length to conclusively proved that Betting Against the Public (Fading the Public) betting strategy will produce a positive return on investment. Every new season we update the data and tally our earnings. Check back the beginning of every season for an updated article.
How can simply " Betting Against the Public" produce a profitable result?
The answer is based on psychology. The public loves to bet favorites and “overs.” It's human nature to root for winners and scoring. The media, which over-hypes winning teams that score a lot of points, further inflates this human tendency. Sportsbooks understand this and shade their lines accordingly. Sportsbooks do not look to balance their books. They look to exploit sports bettors' tendencies by shading favorites and overs. With the difference in long-term winning and losing measured by 1-3%, continually getting an extra 0.5 to 1.0 point every time you bet an underdog or under will increase your win percentage by 1-3%. This is a measurable fact! The following articles prove in more detail our methodology and results for each major sports type. Sports betting research that works.
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Sports Betting Research and Academic Articles
Articles Proving the Betting Against the Public is Profitable
NBA:
12-08-2008 NBA Bet Against the Public, Dogs & Point Spreads 2003-2008 - NEW!
10-29-2008 NBA "Bet Against the Public" Results COMPLETE 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 Seasons
11-08-2007 Mid-Season Football and Early Season NBA NHL Update
10-28-2007 NBA "Bet Against the Public" Results COMPLETE 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 Seasons
4-21-2007 NBA Playoffs: Betting Against the Public & Other Biases
10-26-2006 NBA "Bet Against the Public" Results COMPLETE 2003, 2004, 2005 Seasons
11-02-2005 NBA "Bet Against the Public" Results COMPLETE 2003 and 2004 Seasons
2-14-2005 NBA Home Underdog Bias
2-3-2005 NBA "Bet Against the Public" Results 2003 and Half of the 2004 Seasons
NCAA Basketball:
11-19-2008 Betting Against the Public and Competitive Games - NEW!
3-18-2008 NCAA Basketball #1+#2 Underperforming
3-11-2008 NCAA Basketball "Bet Against the Public" Results
3-8-2005 March Madness NCAA Men's Basketball "Bet Against" Results 2003-04
NHL:
10-9-2008 NHL "Bet Against" Results 05-06 and 06-07 Season - NEW!
2-15-2008 NHL Mid-Season "Bet Against the Public" Results 2007-08 Seasons
10-16-2007 NHL "Bet Against" Results 05-06 and 06-07 Season
10-07-2006 NHL Betting Against the Public Results(2005-2006 Season)
12-20-2005 An Early Look at “Betting Against the Public” and the New NHL
NFL:
9-05-2008 NFL "Bet Against" Results for 2003 thru 2007 Seasons - NEW!
11-08-2007 Mid-Season Football and Early Season NBA NHL Update
9-12-2007 NFL "Bet Against" Results for 2003, 2004, 2005, & 2006 Seasons
8-24-2006 NFL Outlook and Review of 2005’s "Year of the Favorite"
8-8-2005 NFL "Bet Against" Results for 2003 and 2004 Seasons
NCAA Football:
8-26-2008 NCAA Football "Bet Against" Results for 2003 thru 2007 Seasons - NEW!
8-29-2007 NCAA Football "Bet Against" Results for 2003, 2004, 2005, & 2006 Seasons
9-07-2006 NCAA Football "Bet Against" Results for 2003, 2004, & 2005 Seasons
10-20-2005 NCAA Football "Bet Against" Results for 2003 and 2004 Seasons
MLB:
4-25-2008 MLB IN SEASON "Bet Against the Public" Results 2003-07 Seasons - NEW!
4-02-2008 MLB "Bet Against the Public" Results 2003-07 Seasons
3-21-2007 MLB "Bet Against the Public" Results 2003-06 Seasons
4-03-2006 MLB "Bet Against the Public" Results 2003-05 Seasons
3-28-2005 MLB "Bet Against the Public " Results 2003 and 2004 Seasons
Miscellaneous:
12-13-2005 Sportsbooks Shade Betting Lines - Statistical Proof
Why Betting Shaded Lines Works - Shopping for the Best Line
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